The Urban Developer
AdvertiseEventsWebinarsUrbanity
Industry Excellence
Urban Leader
Sign In
Membership
Latest
Menu
Location
Sector
Category
Content
Type
Newsletters
Urban Leader Awards Logos RGB White
EARLY BIRD ENDING THIS THURSDAY START YOUR NOMINATIONS TODAY
EARLY BIRD ENDING THIS THURSDAY URBAN LEADER AWARDS
LEARN MOREDETAILS
TheUrbanDeveloper
Follow
About
About Us
Membership
Awards
Events
Webinars
Listings
Resources
Terms & Conditions
Commenting Policy
Privacy Policy
Republishing Guidelines
Editorial Charter
Complaints Handling Policy
Contact
General Enquiries
Advertise
Contribution Enquiry
Project Submission
Membership Enquiry
Newsletter
Stay up to date and with the latest news, projects, deals and features.
Subscribe
ADVERTISEMENT
SHARE
74
print
Print
OtherDinah Lewis BoucherWed 11 Mar 20

Low Rates, Stimulus Will Cushion Coronavirus Hit: RBA

7279c9be-2e93-4fcf-9b6b-d8afcd0a4d98

An expected recovery in residential construction, historic low interest rates and big infrastructure spending could support the economic fall-out from the impact of the Coronavirus outbreak, the Reserve Bank has said.

“The effect of the virus will come to an end at some point,” RBA deputy governor Guy Debelle said while addressing the Australian Financial Review Business Summit on Wednesday.

“Once we get beyond the effect of the virus, Australia’s economy would be supported by the low level of interest rates, the pick-up in mining investment, infrastructure spending and an anticipated recovery in residential construction.”

“The government has announced its intention to support jobs, incomes, small business and investment which will provide welcome support to the economy,” Debelle said.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison, who is expected to make an announcement on Thursday, has said government would continue to invest in infrastructure around the country ahead of announcing its economic stimulus package.

Debelle said the Reserve Bank is gathering information on supply chain disruptions impacting the construction and retail sectors, in particular.

“Clearly we are still only in the early weeks of March, so the picture can change from here. It is just too uncertain to assess the impact of the virus beyond the March quarter,” Debelle said.

Related: ASX Plunges In Worst Day Since GFC

▲ The RBA estimates a direct impact on the education and tourism sectors in the March quarter.


The Reserve Bank cut the cash rate by 25 basis points to the historic 0.5 per cent low when it met last week, with the cash rate reduction passed on in full through to mortgage rates.

The cash rate has been reduced by 100 basis points since June last year.

Speaking on financial markets, Debelle added that there’s been “a large increase in risk aversion and uncertainty”.

“The virus is going to have a material economic impact but it is not clear how large that will be,” he said.

“The combined effect of fiscal and monetary policy will help us navigate a difficult period for the Australian economy.

“It will also help ensure the Australian economy is well placed to bounce back quickly once the virus is contained.”

Related: RBA On Banks, Rules Out QE

▲ The Australian dollar has depreciated by 6 per cent since the beginning of the year to decade lows against the US dollar.


Debelle described the virus as “a shock” to both supply and demand.

“Monetary policy does not have an effect on the supply side, but can work to ensure demand is stronger than it otherwise would be,” he said.

“Lower interest rates will provide more disposable income to the household sector and those businesses with debt.

“Monetary policy also works through the exchange rate which will help mitigate the effect of the virus' impact on external demand.”

▲ The RBA said the resources sector doesn't show any “material disruption” to exports of iron ore and coal “at this stage”. This is in contrast to the large decline in the oil price, which is expected to flow through to LNG prices.


The Reserve Bank expects the global economy will be materially weaker in the first quarter of 2020, and in the period ahead.

“In terms of the effect on the Australian economy, we have estimated the direct impact on the education and tourism sectors in the March quarter,” Debelle said.

Related: Coronavirus To Disrupt Construction Supply Chains

ResidentialAustraliaBrisbaneMelbournePerthAdelaideCanberrado not useFinancePolicyReal EstateSector
AUTHOR
Dinah Lewis Boucher
More articles by this author
ADVERTISEMENT
TOP STORIES
Exclusive

Industry Stoush Looms Over Construction Code Pause

Patrick Lau
4 Min
Exclusive

New Wave of Capital Washes Over Evolving Surf Park Sector

Phil Bartsch
11 Min
North Sydney TUD Plus HERO
Exclusive

NSW Housing Fix Tips North Sydney into New Era

Vanessa Croll
7 Min
 GemLife site Currumbin Waters EDM
Exclusive

Pop-Out Apartments Power GemLife’s $450m Vertical Experiment

Clare Burnett
6 Min
Scape's Gurrowa place artist impression
Exclusive

Red Tape Blocking PBSA Housing Crisis Help, says Sector Pioneer

Leon Della Bosca
5 Min
View All >
the 8 storey, 32 apartment project, including five affordable units, would replace two single-storey homes at 7-9 Selwyn Street, Wollstonecraft.
Residential

Wollstonecraft Proposal Joins Sydney Midrise Push

Renee McKeown
Exclusive

Industry Stoush Looms Over Construction Code Pause

Patrick Lau
Build-to-Rent

Local Residential Adds Nation’s Biggest BtR to Portfolio

Lindsay Saunders
The addition of the Gold Coast precinct makes the platform the largest in the Australian sector...
LATEST
the 8 storey, 32 apartment project, including five affordable units, would replace two single-storey homes at 7-9 Selwyn Street, Wollstonecraft.
Residential

Wollstonecraft Proposal Joins Sydney Midrise Push

Renee McKeown
2 Min
Exclusive

Industry Stoush Looms Over Construction Code Pause

Patrick Lau
4 Min
Build-to-Rent

Local Residential Adds Nation’s Biggest BtR to Portfolio

Lindsay Saunders
2 Min
Palm Beach Chippendale DA render hero
Development

Beachside Tower Pitched for Gold Coast’s Midrise Mecca

Phil Bartsch
2 Min
View All >
ADVERTISEMENT
Article originally posted at: https://www.theurbandeveloper.com/articles/australias-economy-the-coronavirus-rba